Archive for the 'Commerce' Category

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Day 9 Wuhan Flu Apocalypse

Everything is fine here in Cellblock H

Found CJ Hopkins this morning. Excellent piece.

Adding the Cellblock H category and tag.

Wuhan Flu Apocalypse Day 8 Post II

You are aware that 2.8MM people die every year in this country? Right?

Just sayin’

Wuhan Flu Apocalypse Day 8

I’m still working my way through this one: Aaron Ginn.

Lots of confirmation bias for me. For those of you who don’t believe or think the way I do there is a lot of interesting and challenging information for you to read and absorb. Get back to me with your complaints.

As I understand things we are going through this quarantine mess so the healthcare system, the hospitals, are not overwhelmed. But this shit has already caused the problem we were told it all was required to avoid. My neighbor needs surgery. He can’t get it done because the local hospitals have shifted doctors to Wuhan Flu. They have stopped doing normal work. So… we are already facing the problem all this quarantine shit was supposed to avoid. If my neighbor dies while awaiting surgery, it won’t be counted as a Kung Flu death.

Again… these are the same fucking people that have been wrong about everything for thirty of forty years.

Wuhan Flu Apocalypse Day 7

Found Dr. Deborah Birx interesting:

You have to dig for this stuff. The media won’t show it to you. Notice how good she is in front of the media. She warns us about the counts. We don’t hear any of this. I would like to acknowledge that I was pointed at this by the No Agenda podcast. It is just another example of why I don’t think this is as big of a deal as what we’re supposedly going to go through.

If you really want to look at something a long way off the reservation, go read this: Occam’s Razor on Terror Events.

I won’t call it a hoax, that guy calls everything a hoax. But still, it makes for a good read.

Today I came up with another business idea. The business ideas don’t get posted on the blog.

Wuhan Flu Day 6, 3rd Post

Now the motherfuckers are going to cut speeds for Netflix.

This sort of thing is why I doubt almost all I learn about the pandemic in the news. They send us home and then turn off the lights.

Wuhan Flu Day 6, 2nd Post

The financial mess created by saving old people is very disheartening.

My 26 and 23 year old offspring are going to go into debt to fund the delay of my inheritance of my parent’s property.

My wife and I will also likely incur some sort of obligation out of this mess. Business is down and salaries are going to be cut.

If you are in hospitality or entertainment your world has stopped rotating on its axis.

This post introduces a new tag, “Screwing the Youth.” I probably should have had that one starting back when I was writing about student debt.

Wuhan Flu Day 6

A couple of posts showing diverging opinions:

John Ioannidis

Laurie Garrett

Ioannidis’ piece conforms with my thinking. Well… the reality is that my thinking on issues like this has been greatly influenced by the earlier writing of Ioannidis. Go google his writing on the replication crisis.

I confess to not being familiar with Garrett. I would characterize her piece as a good representation of those that believe all the we are told. That the people that have gotten everything wrong in the past 30 or 40 years have this one right.

Of course I hope the thinking of someone like Ioannidis will carry the day and that we’ll be laughing at the Garretts of the world in a couple of months.


Wuhan Flu Apocalypse 3rd Post on Day 5

This post is going to be full of half-baked assertions. I won’t be linking to many articles. There will be no charts, etc.

Take a look at this:

The part of the house were there are the five windows and the door with the concrete in front of it used to be a little neighborhood grocery store. I would walk or ride my bike there (we lived two blocks away) when I was in 4th grade to get things like milk or eggs. The family that owned the store lived in the house that is attached and hidden behind the tree.

Yes… other parents would send their 4th graders there to get cigarettes. They were, of course, awful parents and all those children are now in prison.

It is located in this neighborhood:

In our rush for more efficiency and lower prices we have driven these little businesses from our neighborhoods. Zoning has knocked them out. NIMBYism has knocked them out. Wall Street has knocked them out. They are gone. There is nothing like this in my part of Dallas. There never was, as this part of town wasn’t built until the 70’s. Any part of Dallas that had this sort of thing (lower Greenville Ave.) now has problems between the commercial operators and the residential owners.

It’s probably different on the other side of the river, but everything is different on the other side of the river. Including code enforcement.

I often think about how our drive for efficiency. Wall Street can’t fit that little grocery stores financial needs into one of their pre-package loan programs. And, since banks are now lend and sell, and not lend and hold, there is no longer any banker that has the ability to understand the financial needs of that little grocery.

These changes have driven commerce and the good examples the owners of businesses set for others from the neighborhoods.

In their place we have the soulless big box stores that offer us all the wonderfully cheap goods made in China, Vietnam, Pakistan and Bangladesh.

I don’t think it was a good trade.

You will keep hearing economists talk about comparative advantage. That free trade works because comparative advantage. I think that is correct. In some cases, anyway. But what I really think is that comparative advantage works best on a level playing field. If the foreign countries that corporations moved their production to had similar regulatory environments then comparative advantage would come into play.But what has really happened is that corporations moved their production offshore to avoid U.S. regulation and to also not have to pay U.S. level wages.

Again, not a good trade.

And then… And then… we get to an event like the Wuhan Flu. And we see an even more important reason to keep things at home. Our sanitary regulations are a lot better. Our public health regime is better.

I’d wager a bunch of Italy’s problem are Chinese nationals that are essentially slave laborers in the garment factories of Northern Italy. We are getting no information about the people suffering in Italy.

I really have been thinking about this and related issues for a long time. I guess becoming an old man will do that to you.

More later. Meanwhile, back to Wuhan Flu all the time…

Wuhan Flu Apocalypse 2nd Post on Day 5

Back when the AIDS epidemic was a big deal, we were constantly told to practice safe sex.

We were never told not to have sex.

Wuhan Flu Apocalypse Day 5

I’m beginning to think this whole thing is a grift designed to destroy the chance for a second term for Trump. I will, again, say that I’m not a fan of Trump, I just don’t hate him like the media so obviously hate the man.

Through yesterday, March 17th (That link was put here the morning of March 18th, it will update over time),┬áthere were 75 deaths in this country attributed to COVID-19. That is about 1% of the daily death toll in this country. Now… that is the count of deaths since CDC started tracking the deaths. Not yesterday’s count.

Some perspective: As of March 7th (again a link that will change over time with updated numbers), the CDC is reporting an estimated 22,000 deaths from the flu this season. This is part of the 7,700 deaths per day in the U.S.

Very little reporting that I’ve seen about this Wuhan Flu has mentioned how this virus will add to the death rate. And if it is reported, you kind of have to tease the information out of what has been emphasized. That is the only thing count that matters: How many additional deaths will there be?

Here in North Texas, some guy with double pneumonia died yesterday. He was 74, according to the article in the Dallas Morning News. A 90 year old in Houston has died. No word on whether or not either of them were smokers. But the average age of these two is 82, which while a small sample is inline with the rest of the world.