Tag Archive for 'Wuhan Flu'

Day 24 of the Bat Soup Flu Apocalypse

I find this very scary. Here is Bill Gates building demand for the vaccine he is making:

It is scary because this is part of his effort to build demand for his vaccine, he’s lobbying to keep many businesses shut down. He wants more of us to demand the federal government purchase and disburse his medicines. He’s trying to get us lowly plebes to do his marketing and sales for him. You can tell he’s talking his book as he says schools can reopen, but mass gatherings (sporting events, concerts, etc.) should not.

A lot of my personal well being and economic health are tied into mass gatherings.

I know there will be pushback from many other corners of the economy, but Gates will have the media on his side.

Day 23 of the China Flu Apocalypse Lock Down

Pretty quiet day here in Cellblock H.

I will have to find the links. It is becoming clear that the testing is crap. It picks up on coronavirus. Not the CORONAVIRUS.

Also… Don’t let them intubate you. Getting put on the full ventilator treatment will kill you.

I promise to find the links.

Day 22 of The China Flu House Arrest

I’m just a guy. My particular area of expertise is useless in these times of the ‘rona. But I can observe and report on what I’m observing. Since I’m not a very good writer, this post will probably end up somewhat scattershot. It’s hard to get all of my thoughts down. I should probably be doing multiple shorter posts, but I’m up early on Saturday and the house is quiet.

What I’m observing is mass hysteria. Or, at least, something akin to mass hysteria.

People that I think should know better have completely lost perspective on this COVID-19 issue. Many of the sites I link to in the right side bar have gone bonkers over this virus. Just go to the wikipedia page for the Spanish Flu. 500MM people (about 1/4 of the world’s population) were infected. About 40MM people died. I have not seen anything that suggest similar numbers for the Bat Soup Flu. With more than 7B people in the world today a similar percentage of dead would be in the neighborhood of 140MM. Nobody is talking about numbers like that.

We live in a better, cleaner, and wealthier world than that of 1918. Our medical services are in much better shape to fight the spread of deadly disease than was the case 100 years ago. So we have that going for us.

What we have going against us is that same wealth and medical services. People today are surviving with, even thriving with, conditions that would have killed them 100 years ago. There are people with what are now being labeled comorbidities that would not have been alive 100 years ago to catch the flu. These people are at serious health risk for this new virus. I may be one of them. I need to manage that risk. I don’t need the government, the media, academia, entertainment and the like destroying my children’s wealth in an effort to keep me from getting sick.

One of the tragic outcomes of this unnecessary lock down is the stoppage of sporting events, concerts, theater, etc. We are facing a problem with the Wu Flu that will likely be hard to deal with and we are now going to face it with much of the joy sucked out of life. But hey! You can sit at home and watch Opera online by yourself for free! What a deal.

I’m not against all of the responses. Some, like the China flight ban, and the quarantine of recent arrivals from foreign lands is probably appropriate. Maybe stopping Baseball, Basketball and Hockey is a good thing, but it sure doesn’t look like the sort of thing a society confident of it’s future would select.

I picked up on the idea of the U.S. having the worst political leaders way back when the Instapundit started using the term. I liked it then and like it even more now. The ‘rona virus hysteria is highlighting the lack of seriousness of our political class in ways that were previously unimaginable. In their wildly inappropriate and unsuccessful responses to this pandemic, they have assumed powers they don’t have and have also done the one thing that should not have been done. They are destroying the economy.

The economy produces wealth. The one thing you need more than anything else to combat the scourge of this virus is wealth. A government can siphon off some level of the wealth creation for various public goods efforts like stopping the spread of the virus, but it can’t take all of it, and it should shepherd carefully the environment within which this wealth is created. It should not put in place policies, such as closing all non-essential businesses (Who gets to make that call? Selling luxury kitchens was an essential business for me, but that is now gone. Because some unknown bureaucrat somewhere classified the luxury kitchen business as non-essential)

The economy is the people. The economy is nothing more than a scoresheet of the people of this society going about their activities to improve the world they live in. The economy is the people working to provide a better future for their offspring. The economy should not be messed with as it has serious effects on the well being of the people.

As I write this post, there has been very little written or broadcast about Sub-Saharan Africa or India. There really has not been a lot written or broadcast about China outside of Wuhan. There are a lot of people in these parts of the world in societies that are not as wealthy as the U.S. If this virus is the Spanish Flu on steroids that we are led to believe it is, we should be seeing images of bodies lying in the streets of Mumbai, Chennai, Lagos, Nairobi, Beijing, etc. I do believe this is mostly an artifact of testing. If you go looking for the virus via testing, you’ll find the virus.

This is probably the most under reported aspect of the whole crisis: We have been sold the notion that these lock-down, house arrests, shelter in place orders, whatever you want to call them are necessary so that we, the citizens, don’t all get sick at the same time and overwhelm the capacity of our hospitals. There is growing evidence that going to the hospital will kill you. So… why are we going through this?

We will all be able to look back on this post, hell… the whole series of posts since this crap started, and see if I was right of wrong. You that survive me can laugh all you want as you bury me or put my ashes in a closet. If I’m even close to correct I’ll remember who put me and my family in the poorer conditions we are certain to face.

 

Bat Flu Soup House Arrest, Day 21

Going up on Day 22 as we were without power for a good portion of the day.

I was out working on the White Rock Fermentorium and could hear guys working in the alley. They are subcontractors to AT&T who are upgrading their equipment in the area. The lights started blinking and I said to myself, “Those fuckers are going to cut the power.” And sure enough, BANG! The transformer across the alley blew and I was in the dark.

When power returned SWMBO and I watched some tv and went to bed.

We are all still good here in Cellblock H.

Day 20 of the Bat Flu Soup Pandemic Lock Down

It is SWMBO’s birthday. She’s getting some tenderloin and home made bread. (I do have some yeast. Probably my best advance purchase! But I’ve had it for at least a year.)

Her present is spending the past 20 days with me. What could be better?

My current China Flu projections:

The next version of iOS/Android will have a pandemic tracking app built in. You won’t get to delete it either.

Cash will be done away with. It’s too dirty, will be the excuse. Allows for better tracking too.

We will only watch football on TV this fall. No one will be in the stadiums. At the moment I am worried about the entire 2020 Baseball season. I am very worried about the resumption of Basketball and Hockey. I’m not heavily invested in being a sportsball fan (I do love a good hockey game with my beer), but I do think we will not get back to life as normal until the arenas have 20,000 people in them again.

 

Wuhan Bat Soup Flu Apocalypse Day 18, Part III

All models are wrong. Some models are useful.

I’ve heard this pithy little quip on the No Agenda podcast and read it on Instapundit. It must be true.

And… It fits my priors of models, data, and, statistics.

Wuhan Bat Soup Flu Apocalypse Day 18, Post B

I am very concerned about how this is going to effect my son. This economic disaster is really crushing what should be the start of his professional life.

Other than that, and me losing my job, things are good in Cellblock H.

We all remain healthy.

Day 18 of the Wuhan Bat Soup Flu Lockdown

Today marks the end of my employment with the German cabinet company. They have taken the opportunity presented by this mess to tell me they have eliminated my position. I find it an odd choice to let me go. I do understand the economics and don’t really hold a grudge, but is strange. There were two of us in the showroom. Me and my associate who was outside sales and marketing. He’s good at that. Very good. But he doesn’t know a drawer from a door. He can’t draw a kitchen. He can’t order a kitchen. He can’t supervise the installation of a kitchen.

In short, if you were to pick one of us to remain on staff, I think most people would pick me.

I also had five years of seniority on him. But seniority seems to be more of a handicap these days than an asset.

So… the geniuses that run my little outfit are going to staff a brand new showroom with some guy that doesn’t know anything about the company, the product, or the technical aspects of the work.

Good luck!

Day 17 of the Bat Flu Soup Pandemic Lock Down, Post III

I would like to remind people that the government has no authority over healthy people.

Day 17 of the Bat Flu Soup Pandemic Lock Down, Post II

After 2 1/2 weeks together. SWMBO and I have caught up on everything I’ve done wrong for the past 29 years.